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Thursday
Mar112010

The PC isn't dead

One of the things that I keep touching on in the show is that the fact that PCs are dead. Or doing really well. Or the PS3 is going to overtake the 360, or that the 360 is going to remain dominant. Or the iPad will be a success. Here’s the arguments for all of these things, and yes I know each set contradicts the others.

PC Gaming isn’t in fact dead, it’s about to explode again.

Argument for the defence:

Ever since this generation of consoles launched the PC has been declared dead, but this doesn’t take into account the fact that in fact the platform has been going great guns in the meantime. Steam has taken off and throughclever use of sales has shown that PC games can have long tail sales years after their original releases. In the last few months I’ve grabbed games such as KOTOR and the UFO series as well as games from the last few years that are probably still on the shelves. Console games just don’t have this long tail in the same way for the publishers, in fact the games stores pretty much make sure that it’s only in the interest of the publisher to have discs on shelves for the first few months because they then take over with second hand sales for which the publisher gets nothing. A company like Blizzard is still selling copies of Starcraft and Warcraft 3 today. On top of that Steam is just such a convenient platform it’s made me impulse buy several games when I wouldn’t have normally.

The biggest advantage that the PC has is that the console platforms have given up competing with it by declaring that they are going to have 10 year cycles this time round. Can you imagine how good a 10 year old platform is going to look compared to a PC with the latest $100 graphics card? Games can get better looking over time, but they can’t squeeze the sort of power out that new hardware can bring. Already PC games are higher resolution and can avoid the nasty trick of using lower than HD resolutions for rendering elements that most console games resort to, and over time this is only going to get better.

The console platform holders are scared of one thing: People will break their DRM and make piracy as easy as it is on the PC. This gives the PC a big advantage because they ban something quite important: modding your games. The two giants in this arena are Fallout 3 and Dragon Age: Origins. There are tools available for them from the developers themselves that allow you to craft your own content right into the game. This is an invaluable tool for people who want more content, to tell a story or want to learn how to make content for games.

The compatibility problems of old are greatly improved, most games run fine on all modern graphics cards and we have DirectX 10 to thank for that. Yes, even for OpenGL and DirectX9 games. DirectX 10 drew a line in the sand and broke the cycle of cards just adding random features to DirectX 9 that may or may not be supported by rival card manufacturers in the same way. DirectX 10 demanded that a fixed set of features was implemented and now that nearly all cards are DX10 compatible in modern gaming PCs this has filtered down to the old DX9 games as well.

The final point to make is that PC  gaming is already much bigger than console gaming and so has already won. Casual gaming is much more massive than all the consoles combined, and distribution methods such as Facebook reach a staggering number of people. I know people will say that that’s not real gaming, but they are wrong. A game is a game, whether it’s World of Warcraft, Call of Duty or Farmville. Just consider how many more PCs there are than consoles and this fact: Valve consider the considerably smaller Mac market to be bigger than the PS3 market, that's the order of magnitude of the difference.

The argument for the opposition:

PCs are expensive and unreliable. You barely need to make more than that argument to guarantee that consoles will always win. You buy a PC from Dell, it comes and works for a year or two. New games start to get a little sluggish and so you buy a new graphics card, but your power supply isn’t powerful enough to run your new card so you need a new one of those as well. This isn’t consumer friendly gaming, this is hobbyist gaming. This may not matter to you or me, but to the average person (Let’s call them “Normals”) it’s a deal breaker when they can just grab a 360, PS3 or Wii and never have to worry about upgrading it, the PC just can’t compete. It’s not just graphics cards either, add a couple of more years to the cycle and you need a whole new set of brains (processor and memory) in order to run the latest games. You might as just well buy a new PC every 3 years, which given the 10 year cycle for the current consoles means that you’ll buy 3 PCs to every PS3 or 360 you buy.

There are three letters that strike fear into every PC gamer. DRM. Whether it’s a root kit installed by Sony, or a need for a constant internet connection to Ubisoft servers it never works reliably. Upgrade your operating system and the DRM will stop working because it was doing something nastily wrong in the first place. Hackers attack the authentication servers and you can’t play your game. You’re in a hotel room in the arse end of nowhere for work and you have no internet and you can’t play the games on your laptop. We all fear it, we all know that in a few years we’ll need cracks to even be able to play these games legitimately. We all know that consoles do it better.

Conclusion

The biggest threat to stop PC gaming becoming dominant again are the publishers and the pirates. Nobody is going to let DRM kill PC gaming, and with another half decade on this round of consoles to go it's the PCs game to lose. In 2015 PC games will look so much better than the PS3 and 360s it can't fail to win.



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Reader Comments (7)

Good analysis. I only have a minute, but there are also other powerful forces struggling that aren't necessarily in consumers' best interest. For example, Microsoft obviously would much rather directly sell you console hardware, an online subscription AND a licensing fee (any Xbox 360 game, some of which they have developed/published) than an increasingly limited selection of MS PC titles and copies of Windows that most people are going to purchase anyway. And, once you've been hooked, they'll be pleased to sell you an ordinary hard drive in a proprietary bracket for at least three times what it would cost to put the same drive in a PC.

Why take a slice of the pie, when they could go for it all? Similar arguments apply to Sony, adjusted to their position in the market. Nintendo and Apple are a bit different.

March 11, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterNT_

I'm actually saving that point for the next two posts on this subject, they're much more of a problem for the consoles themselves than for the PC as an open platform will always attract people if there's a market.

March 11, 2010 | Registered CommenterJon Shute

You seem to be basing the entire argument on graphics. *Of course* PC's have better graphics. Or, at least, have higher resolutions. Monitor resolution has always been higher than television and modern monitors have been superior to HDTV as well. But you're also sitting at your PC inches away from the monitor, whereas on a console you're 5 to 10 feet away from that HDTV and things are moving -- can you *really* tell it's *that* much better?

I just built a brand-new PC, Windows 7, a top-end DX10 card (I know, DX11 cards are out but I'm simply not willing to spend that kind of money for one) with all the trimmings and sure, because it's in my face, the graphics look terrific. But I'm also stuck sitting at my desk and, comfy office chair or no, it's still an office chair not my fluffy couch I can maneuver and recline on. And as you mentioned with the various DRM "solutions" out there, now on the PC I have to fool around researching any non-MMO game I might be interested in to see what type of DRM it might have and decide if I am willing to install that DRM on my PC knowing it might be a rootkit or some other type of permanent, uninstallable software. Note: I have yet to ever submit to knowingly installing any DRM solution of that type, no matter how good the game reviews are, and I don't see my attitude changing on that.

But you're absolutely correct and that I don't foresee any game platform "killing" another platform. Consoles won't kill the PC, nor will PC's kill consoles. It's the publishers, and perhaps to a lesser degree, the pirates, who are specifically killing the PC market.

March 12, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterScott

The lack of armchair gaming is a bit of a problem, but one that I hope companies rectify sooner rather than later. Most PCs now (at least the ones that have come near me) seem to have HDMI sockets, and with the resolution of TVs nowadays it's not beyond the realms of possibilities that a lot of PCs are now connected to the TV either as well or as a secondary display in order to watch downloaded films and allow surfing the net in the living room. I'm not saying that it's anywhere near the norm, but it's a good start that only takes a bit of technical knowledge and some room layout planning. OK, maybe it's a bit improbable but these PCs all have optical out and HDMI for a reason I'm sure.

Wireless HDMI needs to take off. Then it's all fine.

March 12, 2010 | Registered CommenterJon Shute

I think the biggest turn off for publishers is the pirates. If it were not for pirates we wouldn't need intrusive and clunky DRM that doesn't always work. At work I am considered odd by other games (or just film lovers) for refusing to download pirated software or films, and I'm proud that I don't own or play pirated games.

For example, I want to get the Chaos Rising expansion for DOWII, but I only had enough money for 1 game this wek, so I bought Battlefield Bad Company II (I'll get more use out of it longer term), and I'll get Chaos Rising some other time when I can afford it, instead of looking for a pirate version.

The point I am trying to make is that DRM is caused by the pirate / hacker, and although it is an annoying fact of life, it is only there because people are free to pirate without that much fear of being arrested. I should probably ask the next person who advocates piracy to me if he would be comfortable walking out of a shop without paying for a game :P

Runic Death

March 13, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterRunic Death

You guys actually are my source of MMO news. As you say the hype's almost overwhelming so you provide a useful filter, often your quick "I dunno, robots I guess. Next!" style summaries are more useful than the seven pages of advertising bumph.

March 19, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterTrinnet

Huh. No idea how that ended up there, I was aiming for the new episode thread! Shall post it there too, thus dominating your "Latest updates" thingy.

March 19, 2010 | Unregistered CommenterTrinnet

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